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Monday, June 27, 2005

My favorite quote from Gnomedex: "if you want to know what's going to happen, find someone from the future and interview them." There were quite a few people from the future in attendance. Though many of the technologies described have been around for some time now, real adoption of the kind that can create another renaissance around web technology requires a confluence of events that includes
  • access to the technology garden - wifi at the conference was not perfect, but it was there and stretched to its limits by the fact that just about every attendee was publishing content with their digital camera, iPod, computer, recording equipment etc. etc.
  • ease of use - the technologies demonstrated are making progress but still weak
  • mass familiarity - the signal to the masses remains faint but clear and getting louder
  • sense of purpose - no one any longer denies the potential scale of the outcome if these swirling forces coalesce
  • sense of empowerment - a real sense of pressing the envelope to change or extend the previously embedded capabilities of mass media from copyright law to distribution mechanisms to the creation of the content itself
  • wide adoption / acceptance - everyone has RSS, including Microsoft
All of these factors are leading to a confluence of acceptance. Sure you could see it in the presentations by the various company's, but you could also see it happening in the little things: Julie Leung's kids attended, Dave Winer's Mom is blogging, Chris Pirillo's Dad shuttling the microphone to people commenting on the presentations - all adding to the sense that something fundamental at a grass roots level is in the process of creating itself.

10:31:13 PM    comment []

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